Tuesday, 12 December 2006

Pipe's Bongo Fury @ Sedgefield

12.10 Folkstone Class 5 (0-90) hn 22.5f hvy

(+12) Our Samson, Noted as Bubbling Under & is ahead on the figures here. The distance is right but the ground is softer today & his forecast odds are a little short when there are safer bets today.

1.10 Folkstone Class 4 25f st

Snakebite, fit, Noted personal best & improving, figs suggest a class above these, 14/14 tips. Twice behind Denman over shorter trips and although this is the job he was bred for & form figures suggest that the trip will suit again it is a short price to be asking questions about.

3.10 Folkstone Class 4 22.5f hvy

Evelith, fit, Prmsng newbie
Leading Authority, fit, Posted, could be the one to benefit most from today’s conditions.
Noble Bily, fit, Noted, bf, ground was ‘gd when he achieved his figures.

Interesting little race but the action today is at:

1.50 Sedgefield Class 3 (0-120) 21f hvy

(-20) Fourty Acers, 7 ticks, Having clocked a 98 speed figure I can estimate his rating at about [123], here he is off’ve 120 OR, that’s about right & you couldn’t say for sure he is well in.
(+15) Topinambour, 8 ticks, must have more chance of toppling the Pipe horse than King Of The Arctic later.

2.50 Sedgefield Class 3 (0-130) 16.5f hvy

(-2) Bongo Fury, 6 ticks, Posted, fit, personal best last time, In receipt of 7lb when beating a [100,OR] by 7l’s, albeit comfortably: it may be stable form & McCoy’s strength in a finish that decides this. If she does win the second last time, Hashid is more well h’capped than I thought. At first glance I thought she hadn’t got in lightly but the fact that Master Albert was rated [125, OR] in 3rd livens it up a bit. According to Raceform’s SS, Bongo Fury clocked a Class A time last week. This is the class factor; King Of The Arctic may look interesting and in any other race he would be a good thing in a normal Class C but when there is something as unexposed as Bongo Fury’s h’cap mark you may begin to wonder. He was running round with 0-106 – 115’s when he achieved his best, this is a rise in class. Somehow I feel Bongo Fury is above being well h’capped, this is her h’cap debut and on last week’s figures is entitled to a rating much higher – she could be just passing through the handicap sphere.

(+23) King Of The Arctic, 10 ticks, Noted, fit, personal best last time, the only negative being the stable’s form but this was a fair personal best achieved only 20 days ago but then they had a winner yesterday.

Interesting scenario on the figures today, Fourty Acers has to overcome a gap much wider than Bongo Fury and does not have a figure that suggests he can, the opposite can be said for Bongo. She is the safest bet today especially if Fourty Acers wins...

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